SMEs pessimistic about first half of 2017: Survey
Despite the overall pessimism, the SBF-DP SME Index recorded ‘modest optimism’ in expectations of business expansion, capital investment and hiring. TODAY file photo
ANGELA TENG
angelateng@mediacorp.com.sg PUBLISHED: 4:00 AM, DECEMBER 22, 2016UPDATED: 11:13 AM, DECEMBER 22, 2016
SINGAPORE — In an ominous sign for the new year, small and medium enterprises (SMEs) here are pessimistic about their prospects for the first half of next year, an industry index showed yesterday — the first time the quarterly survey showed such negative sentiments since it was started seven years ago.
Despite a better official forecast for Singapore’s economy next year compared to this year, business owners expect turnover and profitability to sour in the coming months, according to the Singapore Business Federation (SBF)-DP SME Index, which fell by 0.4 point to 49.8, compared with the survey conducted in the previous quarter. The index seeks to measure a six-monthly outlook among SMEs, with a reading of 50 and above indicating optimism. This was the first instance where the index fell below 50, indicating pessimism.
Association of Small and Medium Enterprises president Kurt Wee said the pessimism was “not a surprise”.
“It is reflective of the current business sentiment and mood. Businesses are tightening their belts and not expecting a recovery in demand,” he said. “Businesses also expect an increase in cost of (financing) while operation costs remain high. The bright side is businesses have been preparing in the last 18 months for this situation.”
The index, which surveyed more than 3,600 SMEs between October and last month, recorded declines in five out of six sectors, compared with the survey in the previous quarter. SMEs had a negative outlook in commerce/trading, construction/engineering, manufacturing, retail/food and beverage, as well as transport/storage. Only firms in business services had positive sentiments.
The SBF and DP said index scores for turnover and profitability expectations were both at “record lows”. SMEs expect their profits to fall, “indicating how reduced sales and high operational costs are compressing already-lean profit margins and driving many SMEs into losses”, they added.
SBF CEO Ho Meng Kit said SMEs are facing “challenging conditions” in the current economic situation. “This is in line with the slowing overall economy,” said Mr Ho, noting that the Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI) had cut the top end of its full-year growth forecast for this year by half a percentage point. The economy is now expected to grow between 1 and 1.5 per cent for the whole of this year. For next year, the MTI forecasts gross domestic product to grow between 1 and 3 per cent.
Mr Ho said that recommendations will be put forward for the Government’s Budget next year to help SMEs “navigate the immediate challenges of high business costs”. “The recommendations will also focus on helping SMEs sustain growth particularly during this current economic climate, as well as support scalable, local-based enterprises to develop into globally competitive companies,” he said.
SME owners told TODAY that they are feeling the strain.
Mr Kegan Tan, a retailer selling sports goods, recently closed down his shop at Tampines Safra after sales plunged. “It could be due to the economy or the location. In order to guard against choppy waters, we closed the retail shop a month ago. The lease was expiring and we decided not to renew it even though it was affordable,” he said. His company is looking at focusing more on its online business and other strategies. “Despite the change in the business focus, we are still optimistic,” he said.
Despite the overall pessimism, the SBF-DP SME Index recorded “modest optimism” in expectations of business expansion, capital investment and hiring.
CIMB Private Banking economist Song Seng Wun said: “The economy is affected by uncertainties from abroad, with a very uneven performance for the sectors. However, all is not lost. We keep our fingers crossed on global growth as there are signs of us turning the corner to better exports. Perhaps the worst may be behind us.”
- wong chee tat :)
Showing posts with label retrenchment exercise. Show all posts
Showing posts with label retrenchment exercise. Show all posts
Thursday, December 22, 2016
Wednesday, December 21, 2016
Fewer Singapore employers plan to increase headcount next year: Survey
Fewer Singapore employers plan to increase headcount next year: Survey
PUBLISHED: 8:55 PM, DECEMBER 20, 2016 UPDATED: 12:22 PM, DECEMBER 21, 2016
SINGAPORE — Fewer companies in Singapore plan to increase headcount next year, initial findings from a survey showed on Tuesday (Dec 20), a reflection of the current uncertain economic climate.
According to a survey on 2017 employment trends by international recruitment consultancy Michael Page, about one in three employers in Singapore – or 36 per cent – plan to ramp up hiring next year, down from 49 per cent in the 2016 survey. Meanwhile, 57 per cent of companies indicated they plan to maintain headcount in 2017 while 7 per cent said they will cut staffing, the survey showed.
The survey underscores the challenges facing Singapore’s labour market amid slower gross domestic product growth at home and sluggish global economic conditions. The latest labour market report from the Ministry of Manpower released last week showed that total employment expanded by just 14,500 in the first nine months of this year, the slowest growth since the 2009 global financial crisis. Jobseekers also continued to outnumber the vacancies available for the second quarter in a row.
Michael Page’s 2017 Asia Salary & Employment Outlook survey contained responses from nearly 450 employers in Singapore across various industries. The full report - which will be launched in February - will also contain market insights and recruitment trends from more than 3,400 respondents in Asia.
The initial findings released on Tuesday showed that among those planning to increase headcount next year, six in 10 are looking to hire at middle management level. The majority of companies - 63 per cent - also said they plan to offer employees a 1 to 5 per cent salary increase, while 15 per cent said they do not plan a pay hike.
Hiring is expected to be dominated by the digital, technology and healthcare sectors.
“Digital, technology and healthcare are likely to be the country’s fastest-growing industries due to the Government’s pledged efforts to boost investment in these sectors. As a result, employers across these three sectors are likely to continue hiring actively, though recruitment efforts will largely focus on filling niche roles,” said Mr Anthony Thompson, regional managing director of Greater China, South East Asia & India at Michael Page.
These niche technical requirements, combined with requests from hiring managers for solid industry experience, are likely to result in fierce competition for a limited pool of talent next year, the report said.
Meanwhile, a separate survey by recruitment agency Randstad released on Tuesday showed that employees in Singapore were less optimistic than global peers about how their employers would perform financially next year.
About 56 per cent of employees in Singapore said they expect their employers to perform better financially in 2017, compared with the global average of 69 per cent, Randstad’s Workmonitor research report showed. This also compares with the 59 per cent in Hong Kong and 70 per cent in Malaysia.
“Retrenchments and hiring freezes as well as news of major global issues, such as Brexit and the US elections, have kept employees taking a more cautionary stance with regards to their expectations for the coming year,” said Mr Michael Smith, managing director for Randstad Singapore, Hong Kong and Malaysia.
- wong chee tat :)
PUBLISHED: 8:55 PM, DECEMBER 20, 2016 UPDATED: 12:22 PM, DECEMBER 21, 2016
SINGAPORE — Fewer companies in Singapore plan to increase headcount next year, initial findings from a survey showed on Tuesday (Dec 20), a reflection of the current uncertain economic climate.
According to a survey on 2017 employment trends by international recruitment consultancy Michael Page, about one in three employers in Singapore – or 36 per cent – plan to ramp up hiring next year, down from 49 per cent in the 2016 survey. Meanwhile, 57 per cent of companies indicated they plan to maintain headcount in 2017 while 7 per cent said they will cut staffing, the survey showed.
The survey underscores the challenges facing Singapore’s labour market amid slower gross domestic product growth at home and sluggish global economic conditions. The latest labour market report from the Ministry of Manpower released last week showed that total employment expanded by just 14,500 in the first nine months of this year, the slowest growth since the 2009 global financial crisis. Jobseekers also continued to outnumber the vacancies available for the second quarter in a row.
Michael Page’s 2017 Asia Salary & Employment Outlook survey contained responses from nearly 450 employers in Singapore across various industries. The full report - which will be launched in February - will also contain market insights and recruitment trends from more than 3,400 respondents in Asia.
The initial findings released on Tuesday showed that among those planning to increase headcount next year, six in 10 are looking to hire at middle management level. The majority of companies - 63 per cent - also said they plan to offer employees a 1 to 5 per cent salary increase, while 15 per cent said they do not plan a pay hike.
Hiring is expected to be dominated by the digital, technology and healthcare sectors.
“Digital, technology and healthcare are likely to be the country’s fastest-growing industries due to the Government’s pledged efforts to boost investment in these sectors. As a result, employers across these three sectors are likely to continue hiring actively, though recruitment efforts will largely focus on filling niche roles,” said Mr Anthony Thompson, regional managing director of Greater China, South East Asia & India at Michael Page.
These niche technical requirements, combined with requests from hiring managers for solid industry experience, are likely to result in fierce competition for a limited pool of talent next year, the report said.
Meanwhile, a separate survey by recruitment agency Randstad released on Tuesday showed that employees in Singapore were less optimistic than global peers about how their employers would perform financially next year.
About 56 per cent of employees in Singapore said they expect their employers to perform better financially in 2017, compared with the global average of 69 per cent, Randstad’s Workmonitor research report showed. This also compares with the 59 per cent in Hong Kong and 70 per cent in Malaysia.
“Retrenchments and hiring freezes as well as news of major global issues, such as Brexit and the US elections, have kept employees taking a more cautionary stance with regards to their expectations for the coming year,” said Mr Michael Smith, managing director for Randstad Singapore, Hong Kong and Malaysia.
- wong chee tat :)
Sunday, December 18, 2016
Retrenchment On The Rise But Vacancies Still Exists?
Published on Nov 18, 2016
While job redundancies have been on the increase, many sectors – from sales to engineering and accounting and finance – are struggling to fill vacancies. Ascent Solutions chief executive Lim Chee Kean explains why recruiting Singaporean engineers is an uphill task for small and medium enterprises, while mechanical engineering undergraduate Siang Xuan Yu shares why he is not confining his career options to what he studied in school. Accounting veteran Gerard Ee also talks about the leakage of professionals in the field who venture into other areas, such as entrepreneurship, and how smaller firms can woo accountants.
What are your thoughts?
- wong chee tat :)
Friday, October 25, 2013
Saturday, November 7, 2009
What recovery? Unemployment shoots past 10 percent
What recovery? Unemployment shoots past 10 percent
AP
By JEANNINE AVERSA and CHRISTOPHER S. RUGABER, AP Economics Writers Jeannine Aversa And Christopher S. Rugaber, Ap Economics Writers – Fri Nov 6, 6:39 pm ET
WASHINGTON – Just when it was beginning to look a little better, the economy relapsed Friday with a return to double-digit unemployment for only the second time since World War II and warnings that next year will be even worse than previously thought.
The jobless rate rocketed to 10.2 percent in October, the highest since early 1983, dealing a psychological blow to Americans as they prepare holiday shopping lists. It was another worse-than-expected report casting a shadow over the struggling recovery.
President Barack Obama called it "a sobering number that underscores the economic challenges that lie ahead." He signed a measure to extend unemployment benefits and to expand a tax credit for homebuyers.
Economists had not expected the 10 percent mark to come so quickly and immediately darkened their forecasts. Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Economy.com, and Joshua Shapiro, chief U.S. economist at MFR Inc., predicted the rate will peak at 11 percent by mid-2010. They earlier had projected 10.5 percent.
Unemployment at 11 percent would be a post-World War II record. Only once since then has joblessness hit double digits in the United States — from September 1982 to July 1983, topping out at 10.8 percent.
"It's not a good report," said Dan Greenhaus, chief economic strategist for New York-based investment firm Miller Tabak & Co. "What we're seeing is a validation of the idea that a jobless recovery is perfectly on track."
The Labor Department, using a survey of company payrolls, said the economy shed 190,000 jobs in October. A separate survey of households found 558,000 more people were unemployed last month than in September. Some 15.7 million Americans are out of work.
The survey of companies doesn't count the self-employed and undercounts employees of small businesses. So the economic picture could be even more dire.
One struggling small business, homebuilder Miller and Smith Inc. of McLean, Va., has trimmed its work force to about 100 from 350 at the height of the housing market in 2005. The company has been hurt by a slowdown in building and surging health care costs.
Troubles for small businesses could have a disproportionate effect on the economy, because they account for about 60 percent of the nation's jobs. They tend to rely on credit cards and home equity lines — both of which banks have tightened — for cash flow.
And the unemployment rate doesn't include people without jobs who have stopped looking, or those who have settled for part-time jobs. Counting those people, the unemployment rate would be 17.5 percent, the highest since at least 1994.
Economists had expected unemployment to rise to no more than 9.9 percent, up just a tick from September's 9.8 percent, and the surprising jump added to fears that the recovery could fizzle if Americans don't spend.
Already, consumer confidence for October came in well below what analysts were expecting. Shoppers' sentiments about the state of the economy are the gloomiest in nearly three decades.
Stores, always with an eye on holiday sales, are especially worried this year.
"This is a situation where the recovery balloon is getting off the ground but might not have enough power to keep rising," said Brian Bethune, economist at IHS Global Insight.
Sitting at a St. Louis unemployment center, Paul Branyon, who was laid off in July from a Williams-Sonoma factory in Tennessee and now lives with relatives, shook his head and laughed at the notion that the recession is over.
"It's getting actually harder right now," the 26-year-old said. "It seems like everywhere you go, people are losing jobs. People are cutting back. So it's going to get harder before it gets easier."
The economy actually grew from July to September for the first time in a year, but that's no consolation for people like Jose Betancourt, 57, who goes to a Miami-area career center twice a week to take computer education classes.
Betancourt has been out of work since July, when he was laid off from his supermarket maintenance job. He lives on about $600 a month in unemployment benefits, barely enough for the rent for his efficiency apartment, food and utilities.
He has trouble believing the recession is over. In his neighborhood, he sees other jobless people and empty stores.
"It's as if they just gave the economy a nice coat of varnish to make everyone feel better," he said. "I'm in a state of anxiety, and I see it all around Miami."
The worst recession since the 1930s may be over, but the recovery isn't expected to be strong enough to stem job losses and get businesses hiring again. And the unemployed are staying out of work longer. The count of people jobless for six months or longer stands at a record 5.6 million.
As for employers, few are confident enough in the recovery to hire. Art McKeen, plant manager of the Baldor Electric Co. factory in suburban St. Louis, says the plant has no plans add workers any time soon.
Baldor cut back production last year and put workers on part-time hours rather than lay them off. Orders have picked up again, but not enough to justify hiring. "We don't have the need for them right now," McKeen said.
Prospects that the government might pass a second stimulus bill appear dim. Congress is already grappling with sweeping health care legislation, raising concerns about further swelling the federal deficit.
"More debt, more spending ... clearly has not worked — particularly in a time of double-digit unemployment," said Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky. Democrats said the economy would have been in worse shape without the first stimulus.
October was the 22nd straight month the U.S. economy has lost jobs, the longest on record dating back 70 years. Losses at factories, construction companies, retailers and financial services companies far outweighed gains in education and health care, professional and business services and elsewhere. Government payrolls were flat.
One faint sign of hope: Temporary employment grew by 33,700 jobs, its third straight month of gains after steep losses earlier this year. Employers are likely to add temporary workers before hiring permanent ones.
Chris Rupkey, an economist at the Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi, called the big jump in the jobless rate "a kick in the stomach" and predicted a slog ahead. It could take at least four years for the jobless rate to drop to more normal levels of 5 or 6 percent.
"The last two recoveries from recession in the '90s and 2001 were jobless, and this one is clearly headed down the same road," he said.
___
Associated Press Writers Jim Kuhnhenn and Anne Flaherty in Washington, Emily Fredrix in Milwaukee, Christopher Leonard in St. Louis, Adrian Sainz in Miami, Andrew Vanacore in New York and Tom Murphy in Indianapolis contributed to this report.
This is not a piece of good news. What will happen over here in Singapore?
- wong chee tat :)
AP
By JEANNINE AVERSA and CHRISTOPHER S. RUGABER, AP Economics Writers Jeannine Aversa And Christopher S. Rugaber, Ap Economics Writers – Fri Nov 6, 6:39 pm ET
WASHINGTON – Just when it was beginning to look a little better, the economy relapsed Friday with a return to double-digit unemployment for only the second time since World War II and warnings that next year will be even worse than previously thought.
The jobless rate rocketed to 10.2 percent in October, the highest since early 1983, dealing a psychological blow to Americans as they prepare holiday shopping lists. It was another worse-than-expected report casting a shadow over the struggling recovery.
President Barack Obama called it "a sobering number that underscores the economic challenges that lie ahead." He signed a measure to extend unemployment benefits and to expand a tax credit for homebuyers.
Economists had not expected the 10 percent mark to come so quickly and immediately darkened their forecasts. Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Economy.com, and Joshua Shapiro, chief U.S. economist at MFR Inc., predicted the rate will peak at 11 percent by mid-2010. They earlier had projected 10.5 percent.
Unemployment at 11 percent would be a post-World War II record. Only once since then has joblessness hit double digits in the United States — from September 1982 to July 1983, topping out at 10.8 percent.
"It's not a good report," said Dan Greenhaus, chief economic strategist for New York-based investment firm Miller Tabak & Co. "What we're seeing is a validation of the idea that a jobless recovery is perfectly on track."
The Labor Department, using a survey of company payrolls, said the economy shed 190,000 jobs in October. A separate survey of households found 558,000 more people were unemployed last month than in September. Some 15.7 million Americans are out of work.
The survey of companies doesn't count the self-employed and undercounts employees of small businesses. So the economic picture could be even more dire.
One struggling small business, homebuilder Miller and Smith Inc. of McLean, Va., has trimmed its work force to about 100 from 350 at the height of the housing market in 2005. The company has been hurt by a slowdown in building and surging health care costs.
Troubles for small businesses could have a disproportionate effect on the economy, because they account for about 60 percent of the nation's jobs. They tend to rely on credit cards and home equity lines — both of which banks have tightened — for cash flow.
And the unemployment rate doesn't include people without jobs who have stopped looking, or those who have settled for part-time jobs. Counting those people, the unemployment rate would be 17.5 percent, the highest since at least 1994.
Economists had expected unemployment to rise to no more than 9.9 percent, up just a tick from September's 9.8 percent, and the surprising jump added to fears that the recovery could fizzle if Americans don't spend.
Already, consumer confidence for October came in well below what analysts were expecting. Shoppers' sentiments about the state of the economy are the gloomiest in nearly three decades.
Stores, always with an eye on holiday sales, are especially worried this year.
"This is a situation where the recovery balloon is getting off the ground but might not have enough power to keep rising," said Brian Bethune, economist at IHS Global Insight.
Sitting at a St. Louis unemployment center, Paul Branyon, who was laid off in July from a Williams-Sonoma factory in Tennessee and now lives with relatives, shook his head and laughed at the notion that the recession is over.
"It's getting actually harder right now," the 26-year-old said. "It seems like everywhere you go, people are losing jobs. People are cutting back. So it's going to get harder before it gets easier."
The economy actually grew from July to September for the first time in a year, but that's no consolation for people like Jose Betancourt, 57, who goes to a Miami-area career center twice a week to take computer education classes.
Betancourt has been out of work since July, when he was laid off from his supermarket maintenance job. He lives on about $600 a month in unemployment benefits, barely enough for the rent for his efficiency apartment, food and utilities.
He has trouble believing the recession is over. In his neighborhood, he sees other jobless people and empty stores.
"It's as if they just gave the economy a nice coat of varnish to make everyone feel better," he said. "I'm in a state of anxiety, and I see it all around Miami."
The worst recession since the 1930s may be over, but the recovery isn't expected to be strong enough to stem job losses and get businesses hiring again. And the unemployed are staying out of work longer. The count of people jobless for six months or longer stands at a record 5.6 million.
As for employers, few are confident enough in the recovery to hire. Art McKeen, plant manager of the Baldor Electric Co. factory in suburban St. Louis, says the plant has no plans add workers any time soon.
Baldor cut back production last year and put workers on part-time hours rather than lay them off. Orders have picked up again, but not enough to justify hiring. "We don't have the need for them right now," McKeen said.
Prospects that the government might pass a second stimulus bill appear dim. Congress is already grappling with sweeping health care legislation, raising concerns about further swelling the federal deficit.
"More debt, more spending ... clearly has not worked — particularly in a time of double-digit unemployment," said Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky. Democrats said the economy would have been in worse shape without the first stimulus.
October was the 22nd straight month the U.S. economy has lost jobs, the longest on record dating back 70 years. Losses at factories, construction companies, retailers and financial services companies far outweighed gains in education and health care, professional and business services and elsewhere. Government payrolls were flat.
One faint sign of hope: Temporary employment grew by 33,700 jobs, its third straight month of gains after steep losses earlier this year. Employers are likely to add temporary workers before hiring permanent ones.
Chris Rupkey, an economist at the Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi, called the big jump in the jobless rate "a kick in the stomach" and predicted a slog ahead. It could take at least four years for the jobless rate to drop to more normal levels of 5 or 6 percent.
"The last two recoveries from recession in the '90s and 2001 were jobless, and this one is clearly headed down the same road," he said.
___
Associated Press Writers Jim Kuhnhenn and Anne Flaherty in Washington, Emily Fredrix in Milwaukee, Christopher Leonard in St. Louis, Adrian Sainz in Miami, Andrew Vanacore in New York and Tom Murphy in Indianapolis contributed to this report.
This is not a piece of good news. What will happen over here in Singapore?
- wong chee tat :)
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